← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $15.2k on not Bilibili Gaming, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.2k
SELL Bilibili Gaming @ 69¢ · 21,996 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet LOL-eric took Bilibili Gaming (sell) for $15.2k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 31% chance for that side. The market resolved Top Esports. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 69¢
- Implied odds
- 31.0%
- As American odds
- +223 no vig
- Size
- $15.2k
- Placed
- Aug 07, 08:49 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 07, 08:30 EDT
- Result
- Top Esports
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- LOL-eric
- Tx
- 0x85da542e…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-21.3 pts
expected 1.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +69 ptsBilibili Gaming price · entry 69¢ · resolved Top Esports · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | LOW SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ | $17.3k | excluded |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | MED SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ | $832.8k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | LOW BUY Top Esports @ 98¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | LOW BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 41¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | HIGH BUY Top Esports @ 63¢ | $386.2k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | LOW SELL Top Esports @ 61¢ | $19.7k | excluded |