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What this means. A wallet put $56.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$56.8k
BUY No @ 94.7¢ · 60,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteSports
What happened
Wallet definitelyNotBot took No (buy) for $56.8k at an average 94.7¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $56.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1787American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 94.7¢
- Implied odds
- 94.7%
- As American odds
- −1787 no vig
- Size
- $56.8k
- Placed
- Jul 06, 14:48 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 06, 20:12 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- definitelyNotBot
- Tx
- 0x854bd1aa…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+37.2 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsNo price · entry 94.7¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.0k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $13.3k | excluded |