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What this means. A wallet put $17.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.5k
BUY Yes @ 69¢ · 25,428 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet flawfence took Yes (buy) for $17.5k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−223American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 69¢
- Implied odds
- 69.0%
- Size
- $17.5k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 04:06 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 27, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- flawfence
- Tx
- 0x84c6eb4c…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+23.7 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry +2.5 ptsYes price · entry 69¢ · now 72¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $11.7k | pending |