← Live flags
Will France win on 2026-06-30?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $199.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 76% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-06-30?excluded$199.2k
BUY Yes @ 76¢ · 262,088 shares
Size ≥ $100kLate (<1h before start)2.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet shutitfatty took Yes (buy) for $199.2k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied a 76% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $199.2k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 76¢ means
76%chance the market gave
−317American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 76¢
- Implied odds
- 76.0%
- As American odds
- −317 no vig
- Size
- $199.2k
- Placed
- Jun 30, 16:54 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 30, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- shutitfatty
- Tx
- 0x82fe5e48…
This wallet's graded record
7/12-1.6 pts
expected 7.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +24 ptsYes price · entry 76¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $205.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.8k 2.2× usual |
excluded |