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What this means. A wallet put $70.9k on Aurora, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-7.4 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$70.9k
BUY Aurora @ 43¢ · 165,106 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet bossoskil1 took Aurora (buy) for $70.9k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved PARIVISION. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $70.9k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Aurora wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 43¢
- Implied odds
- 42.9%
- As American odds
- +133 no vig
- Size
- $70.9k
- Placed
- Apr 24, 09:50 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 24, 09:35 EDT
- Result
- PARIVISION
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- bossoskil1
- Tx
- 0x801a956c…
This wallet's graded record
7/20-7.4 pts
expected 8.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -43 ptsAurora price · entry 43¢ · resolved PARIVISION
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | LOW SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢ | $90.2k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | LOW SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢ | $28.2k | excluded |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | LOW SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | LOW SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | LOW SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | LOW BUY PARIVISION @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |