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What this means. A wallet put $10.3k on Cleveland Guardians, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansexcluded
$10.3k
BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 58¢ · 17,834 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet johnny234 took Cleveland Guardians (buy) for $10.3k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Minnesota Twins. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Cleveland Guardians wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
58¢
Implied odds
58.0%
As American odds
−138 no vig
Size
$10.3k
Placed
Jul 23, 12:58 EDT
Market close
Jul 23, 13:10 EDT
Result
Minnesota Twins
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
johnny234
Tx
0x7f05e85f…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+52.5 pts
expected 0.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -58 pts
Cleveland Guardians price · entry 58¢ · resolved Minnesota Twins
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 58¢ · $10.3k WHALE $10.3K @ 58¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansMED BUY Minnesota Twins @ 36¢ $29.2k36% jtwyslljy93d agoexcluded
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansLOW SELL Cleveland Guardians @ 56¢ $11.3k44% 0xc1a9…e2db93d agoexcluded
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansLOW BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 83¢ $16.8k83% 0xc1a9…e2db93d agoexcluded
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansLOW SELL Cleveland Guardians @ 77¢ $12.0k23% johnny23493d agoexcluded
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansLOW BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 60¢ $12.2k60% Cypya93d agoexcluded
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansMED BUY Cleveland Guardians @ 58¢ $41.4k58% xifutloong393d agoexcluded