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What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on not Norway, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.7k
SELL Norway @ 32¢ · 33,654 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x7d26…7c05 took Norway (sell) for $10.7k at an average 32¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved England. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 32¢
- Implied odds
- 68.2%
- As American odds
- −215 no vig
- Size
- $10.7k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 17:25 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- England
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x7d26…7c05
- Tx
- 0x7ccc96f4…
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Entry to resolution
Grade +32 ptsNorway price · entry 32¢ · resolved England · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $148.5k 3.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $168.7k 2.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $16.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $11.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $12.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |