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Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)excluded
What this means. A wallet put $13.7k on Cincinnati Reds, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-13.9 pts over 32 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)excluded$13.7k
BUY Cincinnati Reds @ 44¢ · 31,141 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Cincinnati Reds (buy) for $13.7k at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied a 44% chance for that side. The market resolved New York Yankees. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 44¢ means
44%chance the market gave
+127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Cincinnati Reds wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 44¢
- Implied odds
- 44.0%
- As American odds
- +127 no vig
- Size
- $13.7k
- Placed
- Jun 19, 19:10 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 19, 19:05 EDT
- Result
- New York Yankees
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ferrariChampions2026
- Tx
- 0x7a6040ca…
This wallet's graded record
15/32-13.9 pts
expected 19.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -44 ptsCincinnati Reds price · entry 44¢ · resolved New York Yankees
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | MED SELL New York Yankees @ 99.9¢ | $865.0k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | HIGH BUY New York Yankees @ 58¢ | $504.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |