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What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on Alexander Blockx, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockxexcluded
$14.6k
BUY Alexander Blockx @ 38¢ · 38,484 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x78be…bde0 took Alexander Blockx (buy) for $14.6k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Karen Khachanov. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 38¢ means
38%chance the market gave
+163American odds
$1.00paid per share if Alexander Blockx wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
38¢
Implied odds
38.0%
As American odds
+163 no vig
Size
$14.6k
Placed
Sep 09, 17:21 EDT
Market close
Sep 09, 17:10 EDT
Result
Karen Khachanov
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x78be…bde0
Tx
0x7a1ff2e3…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-52.4 pts
expected 0.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -38 pts
Alexander Blockx price · entry 38¢ · resolved Karen Khachanov
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 38¢ · $14.6k WHALE $14.6K @ 38¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander BlockxLOW SELL Karen Khachanov @ 99.9¢ $10.9k0% 0xbbf3…aa3a44d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander BlockxLOW SELL Karen Khachanov @ 99.9¢ $41.2k0% 0xwise44d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander BlockxLOW SELL Karen Khachanov @ 99.9¢ $17.0k0% isco2244d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander BlockxMED SELL Karen Khachanov @ 99.9¢ $144.9k
2.4× usual
0% Weaseloftheweek44d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander BlockxLOW BUY Karen Khachanov @ 97.1¢ $81.9k97% saftey-first45d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander BlockxLOW BUY Karen Khachanov @ 97.4¢ $20.5k97% IlyarHamid45d agoexcluded