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What this means. A wallet put $1.81M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?excluded
$1.81M
BUY Yes @ 58¢ · 3,106,267 shares in 21 fills
Size ≥ $250k21 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)5× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet everydaymortgage took Yes (buy) for $1.81M at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $1.81M+3
21 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−140American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
58¢
Implied odds
58.4%
As American odds
−140 no vig
Size
$1.81M
Placed
May 10, 14:37 EDT
Market close
May 10, 15:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
everydaymortgage
Tx
0x79453bf1…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-28.0 pts
expected 0.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +42 pts
Yes price · entry 58¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 58¢ · $1.81M WHALE $1.81M @ 58¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $46.0k0% Wimmerr166d agoexcluded
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.8k0% 0x4553…9426166d agoexcluded
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% 0x86fb…03d4166d agoexcluded
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.7k0% ITSTHEEND166d agoexcluded
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.5k0% franklineth166d agoexcluded
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.6k100% ArchelausButeo166d agoexcluded