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What this means. A wallet put $1.81M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$1.81M
BUY Yes @ 58¢ · 3,106,267 shares in 21 fills
Size ≥ $250k21 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet everydaymortgage took Yes (buy) for $1.81M at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $1.81M+3
21 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−140American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.4%
- As American odds
- −140 no vig
- Size
- $1.81M
- Placed
- May 10, 14:37 EDT
- Market close
- May 10, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- everydaymortgage
- Tx
- 0x79453bf1…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-28.0 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +42 ptsYes price · entry 58¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $46.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |