everydaymortgage

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.3 wins, so it did -28.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

-28.0 pts

Called / graded

0/1

Expected from price

0.3

Flagged volume

$6.37M

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±44.9 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$4.02M

Last 30 days +$0 · $40.90M volume · 3,739 trades · since Apr 30, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$7.32M

Open P&L · 16 positions

−$11.19M

Closed-position win rate

89%

19 closed

Wallet age · markets

177d

33 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	0	0.3	-28.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 53¢	$1.94M 5.4× usual	53%	159d ago	excluded
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	MED BUY Yes @ 63¢	$239.6k	63%	159d ago	excluded
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 63¢	$1.90M 5.3× usual	63%	159d ago	excluded
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 58¢	$1.81M 5.0× usual	58%	166d ago	excluded
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 58¢	$361.0k	58%	166d ago	excluded
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?	MED BUY Yes @ 29¢	$47.9k	29%	176d ago	excluded
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?	MED BUY Yes @ 28¢	$68.2k	28%	176d ago	missed

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?excluded

BUY Yes @ 53¢$1.94M

HIGH everydaymortgage · 159d ago

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?excluded

BUY Yes @ 63¢$239.6k

MED everydaymortgage · 159d ago

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?excluded

BUY Yes @ 63¢$1.90M

HIGH everydaymortgage · 159d ago

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?excluded

BUY Yes @ 58¢$1.81M

HIGH everydaymortgage · 166d ago

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?excluded

BUY Yes @ 58¢$361.0k

HIGH everydaymortgage · 166d ago

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 29¢$47.9k

MED everydaymortgage · 176d ago

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?missed

BUY Yes @ 28¢$68.2k

MED everydaymortgage · 176d ago

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