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What this means. A wallet put $13.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.0k
SELL Yes @ 1.3¢ · 1,000,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x4488…e319 took Yes (sell) for $13.0k at an average 1.3¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 1.3¢
- Implied odds
- 98.7%
- As American odds
- −7592 no vig
- Size
- $13.0k
- Placed
- Jul 05, 13:13 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 10, 20:12 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x4488…e319
- Tx
- 0x76db4b41…
This wallet's graded record
11/12+12.9 pts
expected 9.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsYes price · entry 1.3¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $12.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 2.1¢ | $10.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 2.2¢ | $23.8k | excluded |