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What this means. A wallet put $1.83M on Over, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5excluded
$1.83M
BUY Over @ 53¢ · 3,465,007 shares in 9 fills
Size ≥ $250k9 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.7× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet sainttroplay took Over (buy) for $1.83M at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $1.83M+3
9 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−112American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
53¢
Implied odds
52.8%
As American odds
−112 no vig
Size
$1.83M
Placed
Aug 16, 09:59 EDT
Market close
Aug 16, 10:00 EDT
Result
Over
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
sainttroplay
Tx
0x74e99fc2…

Entry to resolution

Grade +47 pts
Over price · entry 53¢ · resolved Over
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 53¢ · $1.83M WHALE $1.83M @ 53¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ $11.1k0% jeremiklaxon69d agoexcluded
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5MED BUY Under @ 47¢ $56.4k47% ratatatatatatatataaaa69d agoexcluded
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Under @ 50¢ $13.8k50% bluemario69d agomissed
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Under @ 50¢ $10.0k50% thecomplicatedguy69d agomissed
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Over @ 51¢ $77.4k51% gransaaa LOSING69d agocalled