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What this means. A wallet put $56.4k on Under, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5excluded
$56.4k
BUY Under @ 47¢ · 119,945 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet ratatatatatatatataaaa took Under (buy) for $56.4k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $56.4k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
47¢
Implied odds
47.0%
As American odds
+113 no vig
Size
$56.4k
Placed
Aug 16, 09:48 EDT
Market close
Aug 16, 10:00 EDT
Result
Over
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ratatatatatatatataaaa
Tx
0x58ca77f7…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-62.7 pts
expected 1.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -47 pts
Under price · entry 47¢ · resolved Over
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 47¢ · $56.4k WHALE $56.4K @ 47¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ $11.1k0% jeremiklaxon69d agoexcluded
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5HIGH BUY Over @ 53¢ $1.83M
2.7× usual
53% sainttroplay69d agoexcluded
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Under @ 50¢ $13.8k50% bluemario69d agomissed
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Under @ 50¢ $10.0k50% thecomplicatedguy69d agomissed
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Over @ 51¢ $77.4k51% gransaaa LOSING69d agocalled