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What this means. A wallet put $12.9k on Islam Makhachev, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)excluded
$12.9k
BUY Islam Makhachev @ 75¢ · 17,212 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet NS13 took Islam Makhachev (buy) for $12.9k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 75% chance for that side. The market resolved Islam Makhachev. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−300American odds
$1.00paid per share if Islam Makhachev wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
75¢
Implied odds
75.0%
As American odds
−300 no vig
Size
$12.9k
Placed
Aug 15, 16:27 EDT
Market close
Aug 15, 17:00 EDT
Result
Islam Makhachev
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
NS13
Tx
0x74972913…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-0.2 pts
expected 9.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +25 pts
Islam Makhachev price · entry 75¢ · resolved Islam Makhachev
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 75¢ · $12.9k WHALE $12.9K @ 75¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)LOW SELL Islam Makhachev @ 99.9¢ $11.8k0% LudoGar69d agoexcluded
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)LOW SELL Islam Makhachev @ 99.9¢ $172.1k
2.3× usual
0% TennisLove69d agoexcluded
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)LOW SELL Islam Makhachev @ 99.9¢ $19.1k0% 0x4948…c78569d agoexcluded
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)LOW SELL Islam Makhachev @ 99.9¢ $11.6k0% 0x9cb7…5d9069d agoexcluded
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)LOW SELL Islam Makhachev @ 99.9¢ $20.6k0% Mekhididdy NEW69d agoexcluded
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)LOW SELL Islam Makhachev @ 99.9¢ $17.8k0% Vladooos69d agoexcluded