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What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It lost. This wallet has a losing record: -17.8 pts vs the price over 20 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.1k
BUY Yes @ 94.9¢ · 10,678 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet aenews2 took Yes (buy) for $10.1k at an average 94.9¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1854American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 94.9¢
- Implied odds
- 94.9%
- Size
- $10.1k
- Placed
- Jul 29, 23:08 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 31, 07:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aenews2
- Tx
- 0x7117ff91…
This wallet's graded record
12/20-17.8 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -95 ptsYes price · entry 94.9¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $29.4k | excluded |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $22.3k | excluded |