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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on Mexico, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.0k
BUY Mexico @ 47¢ · 25,508 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet danielwolfmorales3pddb6d took Mexico (buy) for $12.0k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved England, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Mexico wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 47.0%
- As American odds
- +113 no vig
- Size
- $12.0k
- Placed
- Jul 05, 00:42 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 05, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- England
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- danielwolfmorales3pddb6d
- Tx
- 0x6f981719…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-2.0 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -47 ptsMexico price · entry 47¢ · resolved England
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $39.7k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $22.2k | excluded |