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What this means. A wallet put $21.0k on Tampa Bay Rays, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-15.8 pts over 28 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesexcluded
$21.0k
BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 42¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x16bb…8492 took Tampa Bay Rays (buy) for $21.0k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved New York Yankees. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $21.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Tampa Bay Rays wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
42¢
Implied odds
42.0%
As American odds
+138 no vig
Size
$21.0k
Placed
Sep 22, 12:11 EDT
Market close
Sep 22, 13:05 EDT
Result
New York Yankees
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x16bb…8492
Tx
0x6bce19a0…
This wallet's graded record
10/28-15.8 pts
expected 14.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -42 pts
Tampa Bay Rays price · entry 42¢ · resolved New York Yankees
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 42¢ · $21.0k WHALE $21.0K @ 42¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesLOW SELL New York Yankees @ 99.9¢ $48.1k
2.7× usual
0% AnonymousPerson32d agoexcluded
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesLOW SELL New York Yankees @ 99.9¢ $27.8k0% thatguythatguy32d agoexcluded
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesLOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 18¢ $10.3k18% 0xc323…007732d agoexcluded
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesLOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 48¢ $19.2k48% xifutloong332d agoexcluded
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesLOW BUY New York Yankees @ 58¢ $28.8k58% 0x2c33…056332d agoexcluded
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesLOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 42¢ $10.1k42% 0x2c33…056332d agoexcluded