← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $63.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$63.2k
BUY No @ 98.8¢ · 64,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet ExhaustedBoyBilly took No (buy) for $63.2k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $63.2k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−8233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.8¢
- Implied odds
- 98.8%
- Size
- $63.2k
- Placed
- Apr 13, 17:13 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 09, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ExhaustedBoyBilly
- Tx
- 0x6b634d7e…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-7.8 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $218.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $79.9k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $64.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $119.1k 4.4× usual |
excluded |