← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $13.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.1k
BUY No @ 94¢ · 13,886 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet AdrianCronauer took No (buy) for $13.1k at an average 94¢. At that price the market implied a 94% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 94¢
- Implied odds
- 94.0%
- Size
- $13.1k
- Placed
- May 18, 12:32 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 30, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- AdrianCronauer
- Tx
- 0x686a4891…
This wallet's graded record
6/7+12.6 pts
expected 5.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k | excluded |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $53.7k | excluded |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ | $15.4k | excluded |