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What this means. A wallet put $18.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 34% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.0k
BUY Yes @ 34¢ · 52,499 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet 0x8150…d03f took Yes (buy) for $18.0k at an average 34¢. At that price the market implied a 34% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 34¢ means
34%chance the market gave
+191American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 34¢
- Implied odds
- 34.3%
- Size
- $18.0k
- Placed
- Apr 13, 12:05 EDT
- Market close
- May 01, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x8150…d03f
- Tx
- 0x6848bde9…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-34.3 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $18.8k | excluded |