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What this means. A wallet put $38.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 10% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$38.9k
BUY Yes @ 9.6¢ · 403,198 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet 0x64c8…73ce took Yes (buy) for $38.9k at an average 9.6¢. At that price the market implied a 10% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $38.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 10¢ means
10%chance the market gave
+938American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 9.6¢
- Implied odds
- 9.6%
- Size
- $38.9k
- Placed
- Jan 05, 17:25 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x64c8…73ce
- Tx
- 0x68058181…
This wallet's graded record
1/5-5.1 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $26.4k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $40.2k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $40.4k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $40.3k 3.9× usual |
excluded |