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What this means. A wallet put $23.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 32% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.3k
BUY No @ 32¢ · 72,949 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet norrisfan took No (buy) for $23.3k at an average 32¢. At that price the market implied a 32% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 32¢ means
32%chance the market gave
+212American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 32¢
- Implied odds
- 32.0%
- As American odds
- +212 no vig
- Size
- $23.3k
- Placed
- Apr 11, 06:10 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 11, 07:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- norrisfan
- Tx
- 0x65b506db…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+19.1 pts
expected 1.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +68 ptsNo price · entry 32¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.3k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $249.8k 11.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |