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Polymarket · Other · one bet
OpenResolves Dec 31
$14.4k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
52centis sold No at 63¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 37% chance. 22,912 shares, Oct 29, 05:20 EDT.
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What this means. A wallet put $14.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 37% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet 52centis sold No for $14.4k at an average 63¢. At that price the market implied 37% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.6 ptsNo price · entry 63¢ · now 62¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.