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What this means. A wallet put $454.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$454.7k
BUY No @ 53¢ · 858,000 shares in 9 fills
Size ≥ $250k9 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet HorizonSplendidView took No (buy) for $454.7k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $454.7k+3
9 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $454.7k
- Placed
- Mar 01, 08:30 EST
- Market close
- Mar 01, 09:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- HorizonSplendidView
- Tx
- 0x5efcf775…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -53 ptsNo price · entry 53¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $112.5k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $117.1k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01? | MED BUY Yes @ 92.3¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01? | MED BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $39.3k | excluded |