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What this means. A wallet put $55.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 39% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-0.3 pts over 21 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
$55.0k
SELL No @ 61¢ · 90,224 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)2.8× this wallet's usual betEconomy

What happened

Wallet betwick took No (sell) for $55.0k at an average 61¢. At that price the market implied a 39% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $55.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
61¢
Implied odds
39.0%
Size
$55.0k
Placed
Aug 28, 10:10 EDT
Market close
Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
betwick
Tx
0x5eac076c…
This wallet's graded record
12/21-0.3 pts
expected 12.1 from price
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