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Bucks vs. Wizardsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $17.7k on Bucks, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.4 pts over 48 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.7k
BUY Bucks @ 38¢ · 46,472 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet YYYYY999 took Bucks (buy) for $17.7k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Wizards, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 38¢ means
38%chance the market gave
+163American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bucks wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 38¢
- Implied odds
- 38.0%
- As American odds
- +163 no vig
- Size
- $17.7k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 11:07 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Wizards
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- YYYYY999
- Tx
- 0x5ea6c4c2…
This wallet's graded record
23/48-3.4 pts
expected 24.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -38 ptsBucks price · entry 38¢ · resolved Wizards
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Wizards @ 99.9¢ | $19.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Wizards @ 55¢ | $15.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Wizards @ 53¢ | $10.2k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Bucks @ 47¢ | $10.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Wizards @ 50¢ | $10.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Bucks @ 58¢ | $35.7k | excluded |