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What this means. A wallet put $17.7k on Bucks, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.4 pts over 48 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Bucks vs. Wizardsmissed
$17.7k
BUY Bucks @ 38¢ · 46,472 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet YYYYY999 took Bucks (buy) for $17.7k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Wizards, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 38¢ means
38%chance the market gave
+163American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bucks wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
38¢
Implied odds
38.0%
As American odds
+163 no vig
Size
$17.7k
Placed
Oct 21, 11:07 EDT
Market close
Oct 21, 19:00 EDT
Result
Wizards
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
YYYYY999
Tx
0x5ea6c4c2…
This wallet's graded record
23/48-3.4 pts
expected 24.6 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -38 pts
Bucks price · entry 38¢ · resolved Wizards
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 38¢ · $17.7k WHALE $17.7K @ 38¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Bucks vs. WizardsLOW SELL Wizards @ 99.9¢ $19.2k0% Marcos.vher NEW2d agoexcluded
Bucks vs. WizardsLOW BUY Wizards @ 55¢ $15.5k55% PowerSupplyUnit2d agoexcluded
Bucks vs. WizardsMED BUY Wizards @ 53¢ $10.2k53% Marcos.vher NEW2d agoexcluded
Bucks vs. WizardsMED SELL Bucks @ 47¢ $10.2k53% Marcos.vher NEW2d agoexcluded
Bucks vs. WizardsLOW BUY Wizards @ 50¢ $10.2k50% gagarin592d agoexcluded
Bucks vs. WizardsLOW BUY Bucks @ 58¢ $35.7k58% googleplay2d agoexcluded