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Will France win on 2026-07-09?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $32.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-07-09?excluded$32.2k
BUY Yes @ 97.5¢ · 33,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet luciousleft took Yes (buy) for $32.2k at an average 97.5¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $32.2k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−3900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.5¢
- Implied odds
- 97.5%
- As American odds
- −3900 no vig
- Size
- $32.2k
- Placed
- Jul 09, 17:36 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 09, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- luciousleft
- Tx
- 0x5cd259fe…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+5.1 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $38.3k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $17.1k | excluded |