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What this means. A wallet put $62.6k on Alex de Minaur, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. The market resolved Alex de Minaur, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$62.6k
BUY Alex de Minaur @ 89¢ · 70,359 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Alex de Minaur (buy) for $62.6k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. The market resolved Alex de Minaur. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $62.6k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 89¢ means
89%chance the market gave
−804American odds
$1.00paid per share if Alex de Minaur wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 89¢
- Implied odds
- 88.9%
- As American odds
- −804 no vig
- Size
- $62.6k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 16:06 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 15:35 EDT
- Result
- Alex de Minaur
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0x5c44165a…
This wallet's graded record
2/4+4.7 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +11 ptsAlex de Minaur price · entry 89¢ · resolved Alex de Minaur
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysLearner Tien vs Alex de Minaur - Match ATP - Erste Bank Open 1970 - Round of 16 - tennismajors.comGoogle News · Google News · just nowLearner Tien vs Alex de Minaur · Round 2 · ATP ViennaTennis.com · Google News · 5h agoAlex de Minaur Beats Learner Tien to Reach Vienna Quarter-FinalsThe Sporting Base · Google News · 8h agoLearner Tien vs Alex de Minaur · Quarterfinal · Riyadh ExhibitionTennis.com · Google News · 13h ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur | LOW SELL Alex de Minaur @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | Excluded |
| Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur | LOW BUY Learner Tien @ 50¢ | $10.1k | Excluded |