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Commanders vs. 49ersmissed
What this means. A wallet put $38.0k on not 49ers, at a price that gave it a 24% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Commanders vs. 49ersmissed$38.0k
SELL 49ers @ 76¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet sbimbg took 49ers (sell) for $38.0k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied a 24% chance for that side. The market resolved 49ers, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $38.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 76¢
- Implied odds
- 24.0%
- As American odds
- +317 no vig
- Size
- $38.0k
- Placed
- Oct 19, 19:01 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 19, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- 49ers
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sbimbg
- Tx
- 0x5bbf55ea…
This wallet's graded record
1/10-9.0 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -24 pts49ers price · entry 76¢ · resolved 49ers · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY Commanders @ 28¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY 49ers @ 66¢ | $29.1k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY Commanders @ 31¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW SELL 49ers @ 86¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY Commanders @ 10¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY 49ers @ 94.6¢ | $10.0k | excluded |