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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$25.5k

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

VPenguin sold Jazz at 99.9¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 0% chance. 25,500 shares, Oct 28, 23:46 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $25.5k on not Jazz, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market resolved Jazz, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet VPenguin sold Jazz for $25.5k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 0% for the side they took. The market resolved Jazz. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 0 of 1 on graded bets, -48.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $25.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)LOW SELL Jazz @ 99.9¢ $17.0k0% olegio1d agoExcluded
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)MED BUY Jazz @ 44¢ $74.8k
2.3× usual
44% dhgreg NEW1d agoExcluded