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What this means. A wallet put $19.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 19% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.8k
SELL Yes @ 81¢ · 24,624 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet angelat0 took Yes (sell) for $19.8k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 19% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 81¢
- Implied odds
- 19.5%
- Size
- $19.8k
- Placed
- Jul 21, 15:01 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- angelat0
- Tx
- 0x4fececdd…
This wallet's graded record
4/6-10.3 pts
expected 4.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -19 ptsYes price · entry 81¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |