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What this means. A wallet put $10.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 71 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.8k
BUY No @ 43¢ · 25,096 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took No (buy) for $10.8k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.8k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 43¢
- Implied odds
- 43.0%
- As American odds
- +133 no vig
- Size
- $10.8k
- Placed
- Sep 24, 02:59 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 24, 14:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x4e2b23d7…
This wallet's graded record
41/71+10.0 pts
expected 33.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -43 ptsNo price · entry 43¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $4.17M 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | HIGH BUY No @ 40¢ | $838.5k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | LOW BUY No @ 41¢ | $30.0k | excluded |