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Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $11.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?excluded$11.8k
BUY Yes @ 92¢ · 12,798 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet bluemario took Yes (buy) for $11.8k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 92.0%
- As American odds
- −1150 no vig
- Size
- $11.8k
- Placed
- Sep 24, 15:06 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 24, 14:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- bluemario
- Tx
- 0x899f4bb6…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-50.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +8 ptsYes price · entry 92¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $4.17M 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | HIGH BUY No @ 40¢ | $838.5k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | LOW BUY No @ 41¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $12.5k | excluded |