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What this means. A wallet put $25.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.9k
BUY Yes @ 92.6¢ · 27,953 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet llllllllllllllllllllllll took Yes (buy) for $25.9k at an average 92.6¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.9k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1252American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 92.6¢
- Implied odds
- 92.6%
- As American odds
- −1252 no vig
- Size
- $25.9k
- Placed
- Apr 25, 10:45 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 25, 10:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- llllllllllllllllllllllll
- Tx
- 0x4dcb5cfd…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+42.0 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +7 ptsYes price · entry 92.6¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 38¢ | $31.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 38¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $196.8k | excluded |