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Magic vs. Celticsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $16.5k on not Magic, at a price that gave it a 15% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Magic vs. Celticsexcluded$16.5k
SELL Magic @ 85¢ · 19,394 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet PikaCHU448 took Magic (sell) for $16.5k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 15% chance for that side. The market resolved Celtics. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 15.0%
- As American odds
- +567 no vig
- Size
- $16.5k
- Placed
- Apr 12, 18:00 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 12, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Celtics
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- PikaCHU448
- Tx
- 0x4d0b2233…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+39.0 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +85 ptsMagic price · entry 85¢ · resolved Celtics · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. Celtics | LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | MED SELL Celtics @ 96.3¢ | $43.4k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | LOW SELL Celtics @ 82¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | MED SELL Celtics @ 80¢ | $32.7k | excluded |