PikaCHU448

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +39.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Moe Comuzzi win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?+$12No · avg 68¢ → 75¢ · $128 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?+$24No · avg 66¢ → 96¢ · $77 Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?−$25Yes · avg 35¢ → 10¢ · $11

Price-adjusted edge

+39.0 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.6

Flagged volume

$214.6k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.8 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$43.3k

Last 30 days −$131 · $24.28M volume · 43,819 trades · since Jan 14, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$761.4k

Open P&L · 73 positions

−$144.1k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

283d

1037 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	1	0.6	+39.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Warriors vs. Clippers	LOW BUY Clippers @ 66¢	$10.4k	66%	191d ago	excluded
Magic vs. Celtics	LOW SELL Magic @ 85¢	$16.5k	15%	194d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$17.4k	100%	222d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$12.5k	100%	238d ago	excluded
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers	LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 69¢	$11.0k	69%	241d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Pistons	LOW SELL Pistons @ 53¢	$10.6k	47%	242d ago	excluded
Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$20.2k	100%	256d ago	excluded
Bulls vs. Heat	LOW BUY Heat @ 61¢	$15.2k	61%	265d ago	called
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?	LOW BUY No @ 99¢	$12.4k	99%	270d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 98.2¢	$25.6k	98%	274d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 98.3¢	$62.7k 4.1× usual	98%	274d ago	excluded

Warriors vs. Clippersexcluded

BUY Clippers @ 66¢$10.4k

LOW PikaCHU448 · 191d ago

Magic vs. Celticsexcluded

SELL Magic @ 85¢$16.5k

LOW PikaCHU448 · 194d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$17.4k

LOW PikaCHU448 · 222d ago

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$12.5k

LOW PikaCHU448 · 238d ago

Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersexcluded

BUY Timberwolves @ 69¢$11.0k

LOW PikaCHU448 · 241d ago

Spurs vs. Pistonsexcluded

SELL Pistons @ 53¢$10.6k

LOW PikaCHU448 · 242d ago

Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$20.2k

LOW PikaCHU448 · 256d ago

Bulls vs. Heatcalled

BUY Heat @ 61¢$15.2k

LOW PikaCHU448 · 265d ago

Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?excluded

BUY No @ 99¢$12.4k

LOW PikaCHU448 · 270d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 98.2¢$25.6k

LOW PikaCHU448 · 274d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 98.3¢$62.7k

LOW PikaCHU448 · 274d ago

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