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What this means. A wallet put $17.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?excluded
$17.4k
BUY No @ 99.6¢ · 17,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Crypto

What happened

Wallet PikaCHU448 took No (buy) for $17.4k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.4k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.6¢
Implied odds
99.6%
Size
$17.4k
Placed
Mar 16, 00:43 EDT
Market close
Apr 01, 00:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
PikaCHU448
Tx
0xd44386ce…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+39.0 pts
expected 0.6 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $154.5k
2.1× usual
0% 0x3b8d…2ce6212d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $21.4k0% realtimy212d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $99.9k100% 0x8db7…45ef213d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $12.3k100% elpaM215d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $39.9k
2.7× usual
0% Jfownsk217d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $154.3k
2.1× usual
100% 0x3b8d…2ce6217d agoexcluded