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Polymarket · Sports · one bet
Excluded
$14.1k
Will FC Emmen win on 2026-10-29?
0x9e3e…f882 sold Yes at 99.9¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 0% chance. 14,065 shares, Oct 29, 17:52 EDT.
What this means. A wallet put $14.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market resolved Yes, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet 0x9e3e…f882 sold Yes for $14.1k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 0% for the side they took. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
This wallet is 0 of 2 on graded bets, -29.5 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $14.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports