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What this means. A wallet put $491.7k on not Legacy, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$491.7k
SELL Legacy @ 99.9¢ · 492,160 shares
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x14c7…9ccf took Legacy (sell) for $491.7k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Legacy. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $491.7k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $491.7k
- Placed
- Aug 27, 12:36 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 27, 10:30 EDT
- Result
- Legacy
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x14c7…9ccf
- Tx
- 0x498fc48d…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-68.4 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Legacy @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Legacy @ 99.9¢ | $38.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Legacy @ 99.9¢ | $21.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Legacy @ 72¢ | $38.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Legacy @ 72¢ | $12.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY FUT Esports @ 29¢ | $14.5k | excluded |