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What this means. A wallet put $86.8k on Team Yandex, at a price that gave it a 29% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$86.8k
BUY Team Yandex @ 29¢ · 299,750 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)2.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet SPCEXBUYER took Team Yandex (buy) for $86.8k at an average 29¢. At that price the market implied a 29% chance for that side. The market resolved TEAM VISION. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $86.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 29¢ means
29%chance the market gave
+245American odds
$1.00paid per share if Team Yandex wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 29¢
- Implied odds
- 29.0%
- As American odds
- +245 no vig
- Size
- $86.8k
- Placed
- Aug 22, 05:00 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 22, 04:45 EDT
- Result
- TEAM VISION
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- SPCEXBUYER
- Tx
- 0x43aed3b6…
This wallet's graded record
2/6-12.0 pts
expected 2.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -29 ptsTeam Yandex price · entry 29¢ · resolved TEAM VISION
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL TEAM VISION @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 98.9¢ | $31.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 95.7¢ | $17.8k | excluded | |
| MED BUY TEAM VISION @ 68¢ | $138.0k 3.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 69¢ | $10.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Team Yandex @ 30¢ | $15.0k | excluded |