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What this means. A wallet put $12.7k on Tampa Bay Rays, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-11.5 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.7k
BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 46¢ · 27,564 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x16bb…8492 took Tampa Bay Rays (buy) for $12.7k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved New York Yankees, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Tampa Bay Rays wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 46.0%
- As American odds
- +117 no vig
- Size
- $12.7k
- Placed
- Sep 22, 07:59 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 22, 13:05 EDT
- Result
- New York Yankees
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x16bb…8492
- Tx
- 0x42f6bbaf…
This wallet's graded record
10/25-11.5 pts
expected 12.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -46 ptsTampa Bay Rays price · entry 46¢ · resolved New York Yankees
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | LOW SELL New York Yankees @ 99.9¢ | $48.1k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | LOW SELL New York Yankees @ 99.9¢ | $27.8k | excluded |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | LOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 18¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | LOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 48¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | LOW BUY New York Yankees @ 58¢ | $28.8k | excluded |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | LOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 42¢ | $10.1k | excluded |