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Xi Jinping out in 2025?called
What this means. A wallet put $109.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. It won. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$109.7k
BUY No @ 90¢ · 121,854 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)5.5× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet 0x578d…fbb3 took No (buy) for $109.7k at an average 90¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $109.7k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 90¢ means
90%chance the market gave
−900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 90¢
- Implied odds
- 90.0%
- Size
- $109.7k
- Placed
- Jul 22, 11:42 EDT
- Market close
- Dec 31, 18:55 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x578d…fbb3
- Tx
- 0x3f7edbb5…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $64.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $118.0k | excluded |