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What this means. A wallet put $28.2k on Cincinnati Reds, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. It won. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$28.2k
BUY Cincinnati Reds @ 31¢ · 90,940 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet NS13 took Cincinnati Reds (buy) for $28.2k at an average 31¢. At that price the market implied a 31% chance for that side. The market resolved Cincinnati Reds, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $28.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 31¢ means
31%chance the market gave
+223American odds
$1.00paid per share if Cincinnati Reds wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 31¢
- Implied odds
- 31.0%
- As American odds
- +223 no vig
- Size
- $28.2k
- Placed
- Sep 22, 17:40 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 22, 19:15 EDT
- Result
- Cincinnati Reds
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- NS13
- Tx
- 0x3dcaab2e…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-0.2 pts
expected 9.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +69 ptsCincinnati Reds price · entry 31¢ · resolved Cincinnati Reds
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Cincinnati Reds @ 91¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Cincinnati Reds @ 91¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 28¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Cincinnati Reds @ 40¢ | $34.1k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 68¢ | $49.0k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 69¢ | $19.3k | missed |