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What this means. A wallet put $13.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 66% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.7k
BUY Yes @ 66¢ · 20,701 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet sinestia took Yes (buy) for $13.7k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 66% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 66¢ means
66%chance the market gave
−194American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 66¢
- Implied odds
- 66.0%
- As American odds
- −194 no vig
- Size
- $13.7k
- Placed
- Mar 03, 05:40 EST
- Market close
- Mar 03, 15:15 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sinestia
- Tx
- 0x3c18a3ce…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-66.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -66 ptsYes price · entry 66¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $27.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |