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What this means. A wallet put $203.8k on Warriors, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)excluded
$203.8k
BUY Warriors @ 47¢ · 433,523 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x4924…3782 took Warriors (buy) for $203.8k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Jazz. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $203.8k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Warriors wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
47¢
Implied odds
47.0%
As American odds
+113 no vig
Size
$203.8k
Placed
Mar 09, 20:57 EDT
Market close
Mar 09, 21:00 EDT
Result
Jazz
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x4924…3782
Tx
0x3a93bd6d…
This wallet's graded record
7/12+5.4 pts
expected 6.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -47 pts
Warriors price · entry 47¢ · resolved Jazz
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 47¢ · $203.8k WHALE $203.8K @ 47¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)LOW BUY Jazz @ 53¢ $17.8k53% YYYYY999 PROVEN229d agoexcluded