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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$40.4k

Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5

MD14 sold Under at 99.9¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 0% chance. 40,480 shares, Oct 29, 00:06 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $40.4k on not Under, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market resolved Under, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet MD14 sold Under for $40.4k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 0% for the side they took. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $40.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

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Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules