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What this means. A wallet put $13.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 25% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?missed
$13.0k
SELL No @ 75¢ · 17,280 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet VICTORMAX77 took No (sell) for $13.0k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 25% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
75¢
Implied odds
25.0%
Size
$13.0k
Placed
May 26, 21:36 EDT
Market close
May 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
VICTORMAX77
Tx
0x328baed3…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-11.4 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -25 pts
No price · entry 75¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 75¢ · $13.0k WHALE $13.0K @ 75¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.0k0% 0x9561…5497145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.8k0% madril145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.9k0% Alphax145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $100.1k
4.0× usual
0% strike123145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.6k0% Thaws145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $16.6k0% Wogg145d agoexcluded