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What this means. A wallet put $46.8k on Fiziev, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)excluded
$46.8k
BUY Fiziev @ 55¢ · 85,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)2.5× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet benwyatt took Fiziev (buy) for $46.8k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Ruffy. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $46.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Fiziev wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
55¢
Implied odds
55.0%
As American odds
−122 no vig
Size
$46.8k
Placed
Jan 31, 22:10 EST
Market close
Jan 31, 21:00 EST
Result
Ruffy
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
benwyatt
Tx
0x310476a7…
This wallet's graded record
5/8+5.1 pts
expected 4.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -55 pts
Fiziev price · entry 55¢ · resolved Ruffy
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 55¢ · $46.8k WHALE $46.8K @ 55¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)LOW SELL Ruffy @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% SwissMiss LOSING265d agoexcluded
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)LOW SELL Ruffy @ 99.9¢ $142.7k
3.7× usual
0% Donghui265d agoexcluded
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)LOW SELL Ruffy @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% 0x01ba…b77a265d agoexcluded
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)LOW SELL Ruffy @ 99.9¢ $13.4k0% 0x45d5…8fae265d agoexcluded
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)LOW SELL Ruffy @ 99.9¢ $54.4k0% 0xb383…f189265d agoexcluded
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Fiziev @ 54¢ $16.6k54% gmanas265d agoexcluded