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What this means. A wallet put $41.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 61% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$41.7k
BUY Yes @ 61¢ · 68,616 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x709e…66f5 took Yes (buy) for $41.7k at an average 61¢. At that price the market implied a 61% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $41.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 61¢ means
61%chance the market gave
−155American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 61¢
- Implied odds
- 60.8%
- As American odds
- −155 no vig
- Size
- $41.7k
- Placed
- Jul 09, 14:22 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 09, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x709e…66f5
- Tx
- 0x308019f3…
This wallet's graded record
7/9+24.9 pts
expected 4.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +39 ptsYes price · entry 61¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $38.3k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $17.1k | excluded |